|
Advisors: Manage well the forex reserves
(Xinhua)
Updated: 2006-03-12 11:46
A number of political advisors on Sunday called for more rationally managing
China's massive foreign exchange reserves, which doubled over the 2004-05 period
to an equivalent of 818.9 billion U.S. dollars, second only to Japan.
The quick buildup is largely a result of China's booming exports and
foreign exchange controls by the government, as well as speculation on the
yuan's rise, industry watchers agree.
A big part of China's foreign
exchange reserves are U.S. dollar- denominated assets, including bonds issued by
the U.S. government. "Risks in the international foreign exchange market should
be lowered when China manages its reserves," said Professor Guo Guoqing of a
business school of the People's University of China.
Guo, a member of
the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference
(CPPCC), the country's top advisory body, urged the government to cut back on
subsidies for exports and take other measures to reduce foreign trade surpluses
appropriately and achieve the balance in international payments.
Part of
the reserves should be channeled into the imports of more high-tech machinery,
equipment and other products, he suggested on the sidelines of the CPPCC's
annual session.
The United States has been contending that the value of
yuan, also known as renminbi or RMB, is too low, giving Chinese exporters an
"unfair" advantage. But China said its huge trade surpluses are also a result of
the U.S. reluctance to export goods involving state-of-the-art technologies.
Fu Rui, also a CPPCC member, said with ample foreign exchange reserves,
China could intentionally bulk up the reserves of strategic resources.
The international consensus is a country's rational foreign exchange
reserves should equal to its imports demand for a full quarter. Also taking into
consideration of payments for foreign debts, returns for foreign investors and
other demands in China, many believe it is enough for the country to retain 300
billion U. S. dollars.
But Lin Yifu, a popular economist, underscored
China's per capita foreign exchange reserves remains not large - less than one-
tenth of Japan's and far below that of Hong Kong and Singapore.
The
reserves were "tremendous fruits" from China's reform and opening-up drive, he
said.
His remarks were echoed by Xiao Zhuoji, a well-known economics
professor with Beijing University. "The rise of foreign exchange reserves
reflects China's fast, sustained economic growth and sound international
payments," he said.
"The reserves are of significant importance to
upgrade the China image in the international economic arena, strengthen the
nation's macro-control capabilities and guard against financial risks," added
Xiao, a Standing Committee member of the CPPCC National Committee.
But
as the People's Bank of China, or the central bank, has to buy foreign exchange
reserves under the current foreign exchange control policies, the country's
monetary base will be enlarged, increasing its inflationary pressure and
difficulties on macro- economic controls, analysts acknowledge.
Another
prevailing view is that China's hefty foreign exchange reserves actually
"occupied" large amounts of fund resources that otherwise can be diverted for
domestic investment and consumption.
Some CPPCC members said they
believe it is already "meaningless " now to talk about whether China's foreign
exchange reserves size is big or not. "The key lies on how to raise the
reserves' yields."
"If the annual yields from foreign exchange reserves
could reach a stable 5 percent, the nation will reap in 300 billion yuan a year.
What a big fortune!" one advisor told Xinhua.
Central banker Zhou
Xiaochuan reiterated earlier that China will "pay attention to and maintain the
flexibility" of foreign reserves structure, which is unknown to the
public.
|
